Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Live orders resting in the book. The closer to the middle, the better the price.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources. Imported from Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-us-invade-iran-before-2027